World Jul 30, 2026 · 1 min read

Only the Middle East crisis is preventing a drop in UK interest rates

Bank’s wariness about inflationary pressures from the conflict lie behind decision to hold steady at 3.75%Business live – latest updatesThere is a threat of high inflation coming to the UK but only from the conflict in the Middle East, which could keep oil prices high for much longer than was expect...

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The Guardian
by Phillip Inman
Only the Middle East crisis is preventing a drop in UK interest rates

Bank’s wariness about inflationary pressures from the conflict lie behind decision to hold steady at 3.75%

There is a threat of high inflation coming to the UK but only from the conflict in the Middle East, which could keep oil prices high for much longer than was expected when Donald Trump first began attacking Iran.

It is the war that makes the difference between a benign outlook for inflation and one that puts it back on a rising trajectory, senior UK central bankers believe.

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This article was originally published by The Guardian and written by Phillip Inman.

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