Local election campaigning enters final week as forecaster warns Labour could lose 1,850 English seats –UK politics live

Robert Hayward predicts Reform will be big winner, taking seats from both Labour and the Conservatives

Robert Hayward’s forecasts for the English local elections (see 9.06am) are broadly in line with the equivalent figures produced by other experts.

Here are projections from Stephen Fisher, an Oxford politics professor who is part of the team led by John Curtice that produces general election exit polls for the BBC and others. He published this in a post on his Elections Etc blog last month.